NEW DELHI â" I was talking last week to a senior official from the Congress Party in one of the capitalâs colonial bungalows that are a much-envied perk of power when news arrived that the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (D.M.K.), a party from the southern state of Tamil Nadu and an important partner in Congressâs ruling alliance, had withdrawn support from the government. The functionary was gleeful. That reaction surprised me, but less so than the explanation for it: âThere goes Chidambaramâs chance of becoming prime minister.â
The reference was to the finance minister, whose parliamentary seat from Tamil Nadu depends on continued support from D.M.K. Even assuming that, against current odds, Congress does well in the 2014 general election and then Rahul Gandhi chooses not to become prime minister, P. Chidambaram could hardly claim Indiaâs top post without winning his own election. That this Congress politician would delight at an allyâs setback sums up the atmosphere of cynicism that permeates Indian politics today.
Then again, D.M.K.âs withdrawal was cynical to being with. For years the party, which has its roots in a Tamil separatist movement, had done little to take up the cause of the Tamils in Sri Lanka. But faced with plummeting support in its home state over allegations of corruption, it has recently tried to rebrand itself. Sensing an opportunity after a recent U.N. resolution on Sri Lanka calling for âan independent and credible investigation into alleged war crimesâ committed agains Tamils during the civil war that ended in 2009, the chief of the D.M.K. reportedly said that âIndiaâs failure to understand the gravity of the situation and its indifferenceâ were âantidemocratic.â Hence the partyâs withdrawal from the government.
Now that the D.M.K. is out, Indiaâs ruling alliance can be held hostage by any one of its remaining partners. With barely a majority in Parliament, Congress is desperate for the continued support of the Samajwadi Party (which rules Indiaâs largest state, Uttar Pradesh), the Bahujan Samaj Party (which represents the dalits), and the Trinamool Congress (a breakaway faction of Congress that rules the state of West Bengal). And they know it.
In 2011, for example, the Indian government had to give up on a water-sharing agreement with Bangladesh because the Trinamool Congress opposed it, alleging it would take too much fresh water away from West Bengal. And six months ago the party withdrew from the government over proposed cuts to Indiaâs burgeoning subsidies. But then just this month, reacting to the Sri Lankan Tamil issue, the Trinamool Congressâs leader said that when it comes to Indiaâs external affairs âour party never interferesâ with the central governmentâs policies. She seemed to have been positioning the Trinamool Congress for some of the spoils left by D.M.K.âs eparture.
Congressâs response to feeling hamstrung has been no less cynical. Among other things, it has used the Central Bureau of Investigation, the agency responsible for monitoring major corruption cases, as a political tool.
A few years ago, it appointed Ashwani Kumar â" who once oversaw security for Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi (of Congress) and his wife Sonia Gandhi (now the head of Congress) â" as chief of the investigation bureau. And after President Pranab Mukherjee (Congress again) appointed Kumar to be governor of the state of Nagaland, Congress replaced Kumar with another hand-picked candidate.
No wonder, then, that within days of D.M.K.âs withdrawal from the government the Central Bureau of Investigation raided the house of M.K. Stalin, the son of the D.M.K.âs leader and its heir apparent. Prime Minister Manmohan Singhâs attempt to distance himself from the raid only heightened suspicions about its motivations: Congress appears to be warning not only the D.M.K., but all its other nominal allies, to stay put.
In the cynical political atmosphere that dominates India today, perhaps these parties deserve one another. The question is whether the country deserves them.
Hartosh Singh Bal is political editor of Open Magazine and co-author of âA Certain Ambiguity.ââ