NEW DELHI - Frustrated by delays in Parliament, and eager to curry favor with rural voters for upcoming national elections, Indiaâs cabinet has approved a sweeping executive order that establishes a legal right to food and will create what is likely the worldâs largest food subsidy system for the poor.
The issue of food security has been a source of controversy during the governmentâs second term. Sonia Gandhi, president of the Indian National Congress Party, has promoted the plan as necessary to widen the safety net for Indiaâs hundreds of millions of rural poor. But critics have blanched at the high costs and warned that the program will broaden a subsidy system that is already inefficient and corrupt.
For the governing Congress Party, the new ordinance fulfills a campaign pledge made by Mrs. Gandhi and provides her party with something tangible to offer voters as the country prepares for national elections next year. The coalition government has been battered by corruption scandals and a sinking economy. With polls suggesting a loss of public support for the Congress Party, the food ordinance is good politics, some analysts say, if uncertain economics.
âIt is very consistent with the overall thrust of the government to become the welfare party of India,â said Ashutosh Varshney, an India specialist at Brown University. âHow to finance welfare is a tricky question. But the welfare party of India can still garner a lot of votes because so much of India is still below the poverty line.â
The ordinance has not yet been finalized. It must be signed by President Pranab Mukherjee, considered a formality, and then approved by majority votes by both houses of Parliament in the upcoming âmonsoonâ session.
Initially, the Congress Party had intended to present a bill before Parliament, but the effort met with numerous delays and political fights, some within the Congress Party, until the government instead opted for the cabinet ordinance.
âWhy didnât the government bring the food bill in Parliament and discuss it?â asked Rajnath Singh, president of the Bharatiya Janata Party, the main opposition. âWhy such hurry?â.
The debate over food security has also offered a clash of ideas for how a country like India, with 1.2 billion people and dramatic extremes of wealth and poverty, can most effectively provide food to the poor, as well as provide them tools to lift themselves into better lives. Once a state-planned, socialist economy, India is now something of a hybrid, with powerful interest groups wedded to maintaining entrenched fuel and food subsidy programs, even as many business leaders push for more market-based solutions to hunger.
Indiaâs economy, once roaring above 9 percent annual growth, has now cooled appreciably, and many critics have cautioned that the food security program could represent a huge burden as the government is trying to address a stubborn budget deficit. Currently, the government allots about $15 billion to food subsidies, a figure that also includes payments to farmers. Under the new broader plan, that figure would rise to nearly $21 billion.
The exact details of the ordinance passed by the cabinet have not yet been publicized, but presumably the ordinance closely follows the government-supported Food Security Bill, which had been pending in Parliament. That bill has several different components: an expansion of food and cooking oil subsidies to 75 percent of the rural population and 50 percent of the urban population; guaranteed free lunch to poor children from ages six months to 14; a free meal and 6,000 rupee ($100) subsidy to pregnant women.
Jean Dreze, an economist and leader of the food security campaign, said the program has been scaled down from earlier proposals and that the extra costs are somewhat misleading, since new expenditures to the central government will be somewhat offset by reduced burdens on state governments. He said the law would streamline existing eligibility categories and make permanent some already existing programs for poor women and children.
âI think it is less ambitious than many people believe,â Mr. Dreze said.
But many economists warn that India cannot afford to expand subsidies at a time when economic growth is slowing and the government is struggling to contain a high fiscal deficit. Surjit S. Bhalla, an economist, predicted that the program would exacerbate fiscal problems and could also create disincentives for farmers that could actually lower food production in India.
âI do not know of a more bizarre scheme in the world,â said Mr. Bhalla, chairman of Oxus Investments, an economic research and advisory firm.
Currently, the governmentâs Public Distribution System, or PDS, distributes subsidized grain and kerosene through Fair Price Shops across India. Eligibility categories are used to determine how much a person can receive, and the program distributes monthly bags of wheat or rice, along with cooking fuel, to millions of people.
But the system has been mired in corruption. Many rightful recipients either never receive their benefits, or do not receive their allotted amount. Academic studies have found that 70 percent of the budget is wasted, stolen or used on bureaucratic and transportation costs. Many critics have called for gradually dismantling the PDS network and instead instituting a program that gives cash transfers directly to recipients.
Mr. Dreze said the current proposal had included different programs for using cash transfers but that, overall, the system was not prepared yet for such a dramatic change. He said the new plan should eliminate some of the existing corruption.
âWhy not act on what you have?â he said of the existing distribution network. âCash transfers will take a lot of time to put in place.â
Hari Kumar contributed reporting.
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